Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Catanzaro
20.8%
Draw
15.8%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Catanzaro
vs
1.07
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).