Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Ternana
32.2%
Draw
37.2%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Ternana
vs
1.14
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).