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AHT: 10CSV

06 Oct 2024 · 12:00

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.4%
Ross County
18.7%
Draw
68.8%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Ross County

vs
2.35

Celtic

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).