Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Nice
16.8%
Draw
16.1%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Nice
vs
1.14
Metz
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).