Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Angers
29.9%
Draw
42.3%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Angers
vs
1.13
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).