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11 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Aldershot
26.1%
Draw
24.7%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Aldershot

vs
1.13

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).