Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Morecambe
26.5%
Draw
36.5%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Morecambe
vs
1.20
Barrow
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).