Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.1%
Longridge Town
5.7%
Draw
4.2%
Pilkington
Expected Goals (xG)
5.04
Longridge Town
vs
1.38
Pilkington
Markets
BTTS74.4%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.598.7%
Over 2.595.4%
Over 3.588.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-1
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
5-0
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-2
4.3%
4-2
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
2-0
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).