Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Reading
16.7%
Draw
13.4%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Reading
vs
0.85
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).