Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Sudtirol
32.0%
Draw
21.8%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Sudtirol
vs
0.77
Brescia
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).