Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.9%
Valencia
19.0%
Draw
67.1%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Valencia
vs
2.28
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).