Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Charlton
28.6%
Draw
13.9%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Charlton
vs
0.58
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).