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10 May 2026 · 00:00

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.6%
Zenit
6.0%
Draw
1.4%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

3.70

Zenit

vs
0.43

Sochi

Markets

BTTS34.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.6%
4-0
12.6%
2-0
11.1%
5-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
5-1
4.0%
1-1
2.9%
0-0
1.9%
3-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).