Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Elversberg
20.7%
Draw
17.2%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Elversberg
vs
1.17
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).