Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Mechelen
24.0%
Draw
31.2%
Gent
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Mechelen
vs
1.43
Gent
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).