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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.5%
Udinese
27.5%
Draw
21.0%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Udinese

vs
0.76

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).