Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.9%
Yeovil
29.5%
Draw
28.6%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Yeovil
vs
1.06
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).