Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Elfsborg
28.7%
Draw
31.7%
Västerås SK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Elfsborg
vs
1.23
Västerås SK
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).