Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Harrogate
24.8%
Draw
13.8%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Harrogate
vs
0.70
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).