⚽ FootballData
QPR

Home

2 – 1
HHT: 11CSV

07 Oct 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.0%
QPR
24.9%
Draw
20.1%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

QPR

vs
0.99

Reading

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).