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22 Apr 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.4%
Sandhausen
17.6%
Draw
71.0%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Sandhausen

vs
2.56

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).