Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Ternana
27.4%
Draw
17.6%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Ternana
vs
0.80
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).