Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Numancia
26.3%
Draw
25.6%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Numancia
vs
0.98
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).