Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Thatcham Town
22.0%
Draw
22.6%
Slough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Thatcham Town
vs
1.09
Slough Town
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).