Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Pisa
24.3%
Draw
16.1%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Pisa
vs
0.87
Spal
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).