⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 20CSV

12 Apr 2016

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.4%
Eastleigh
29.8%
Draw
36.8%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Eastleigh

vs
1.24

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Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).