Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Tranmere
23.1%
Draw
25.5%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Tranmere
vs
1.12
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).