Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Motherwell
17.7%
Draw
7.4%
Ross County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Motherwell
vs
0.54
Ross County
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.7%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
0-0
7.0%
4-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).