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DHT: 20CSV

18 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Levante
25.3%
Draw
55.8%
Ath Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Levante

vs
1.65

Ath Madrid

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).