Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Ath Bilbao
28.3%
Draw
35.6%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.19
Celta
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).