⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 01

14 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
20.6%
Inhulets
28.2%
Draw
51.2%
Karpaty

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Inhulets

vs
1.40

Karpaty

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).