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DHT: 11CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Standard
28.4%
Draw
22.4%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Standard

vs
0.88

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).