Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Empoli
27.9%
Draw
28.3%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Empoli
vs
0.97
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).