Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Everton
28.3%
Draw
13.5%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Everton
vs
0.63
Wolves
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).