Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
M'gladbach
23.8%
Draw
48.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
M'gladbach
vs
1.91
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).