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AHT: 02

29 Nov 2024 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.8%
Vorskla
34.2%
Draw
26.0%
Inhulets

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Vorskla

vs
0.73

Inhulets

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.551.5%
Over 2.524.7%
Over 3.59.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.4%
1-0
17.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).