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DHT: 01CSV

28 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Halifax
26.0%
Draw
21.4%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Halifax

vs
1.00

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).