Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Reading
23.7%
Draw
37.9%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Reading
vs
1.35
Charlton
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).