Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Sampdoria
26.8%
Draw
49.7%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Sampdoria
vs
1.40
Spal
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).