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AHT: 01CSV

28 Sept 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Cadiz
25.4%
Draw
25.1%
Eldense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Cadiz

vs
1.01

Eldense

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).