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DHT: 11CSV

06 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.3%
Brechin
21.7%
Draw
70.9%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.54

Brechin

vs
2.03

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
15.7%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
10.6%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
5.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
2-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).