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22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.9%
Woking
21.4%
Draw
14.7%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Woking

vs
0.93

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).