Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Spartak Moskva
23.8%
Draw
30.7%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.60
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS69.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).