Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Eibar
29.1%
Draw
17.0%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Eibar
vs
0.59
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
0-0
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).