Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Macclesfield
23.8%
Draw
19.8%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Macclesfield
vs
0.84
Newport County
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).