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27 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Kaiserslautern
29.0%
Draw
35.4%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.29

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).