Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Villarreal
18.4%
Draw
12.9%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Villarreal
vs
0.89
Girona
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).