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30 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.3%
Kocaelispor
40.4%
Draw
17.4%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Kocaelispor

vs
0.57

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.576.2%
Over 1.549.5%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.8%
1-0
17.9%
1-1
14.8%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
2.0%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).