Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Cagliari
28.1%
Draw
23.1%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Cagliari
vs
0.80
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).