Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Mechelen
25.7%
Draw
32.3%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Mechelen
vs
1.32
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).